The second module of the Executive Training Course in Global Risk Analysis and Crisis Management on ‘Analysing Risk, Preparing for Uncertainty’ took place on Friday, 25 and Saturday, 26 October.
The senior expert round-table set the scene with interventions from Dr Helene Lavoix (Director of The Red (team) Analysis Society, a think tank devoted to Strategic Foresight and Warning [SF&W], Anticipatory Intelligence, and Early Warning Systems for conventional and unconventional security issues) as well as Donatella Rostagno (Executive Secretary of the European Network for Central Africa) and Gabriele Cascone (from the Division for Operation and Planning of NATO).
The Executive Training Course continued on Saturday with a focus on specific methods of risk analysis, in particular different ways to assess available evidence. Specific methodologies, in particular the Delphi method and scenarios analysis, were discussed and applied via practical exercises integrated in the entire Saturday training session. The final exercise on the case study of Afghanistan illuminated different dimensions of risk analysis used in security advising.
Please find photos from the second module below.