The Programme

As of Fall 2020 the programme is offered online.

The programme focuses on the scope and nature of diverse forms of risk and fundamental uncertainty. Participants will be taught by leading practitioners and international experts how to classify, analyze and predict political risk, violent conflicts, and natural disasters. Participants will be introduced to the most modern IT tools for open source intelligence and to the main methods for early warning and monitoring global crises. Practical skills also include fundamental training on selection bias, on gathering data in crisis situations and writing succinct and effective analyses.

Module 1

Understanding Risks, Grasping Uncertainty: 25-26 September, 2021

Module 2

Analysing Risks, Preparing for Uncertainty: 16-17 October, 2021

Module 3

Open Source Intelligence: Tools and Techniques: 6-7 November, 2021

Module 4

A New Information Environment: Media, Conflict and Crisis Communication:  27-28 November, 2021

Module 5

Global Crisis Monitoring, Conflict Analysis & Early Warning: 11-12 December, 2021


Please note that all sessions will be organized in a synchronous format, but recordings will remain available for two weeks.

*Dates mentioned above are subject to change.